Cook Gives Brown Advantage; Obama Insiders Throwing in Towel?

Posted by NosferatusCoffin | January 17th, 2010

Even Charlie Cook is giving the edge to Brown. Considering Cook has long had a liberal bent when it comes to calling races, this is petty significant.

From Newsmax:

“This past Thursday, Jan. 14, The Cook Political Report moved the open Massachusetts Senate seat rating from lean Democrat to toss-up, having moved it from solid Democrat to lean Democratic on Jan. 7,” Cook wrote, Politico first reported. “We continue to see this race as very much of a toss-up, with Republican state Sen. Scott Brown holding onto a very narrow, single-digit lead over Democratic state Attorney General Martha Coakley.

“Given the vagaries of voter turnout, particularly in lower participation level special elections, this race could still go either way, but we put a finger on the scale for Brown. Last-minute Democratic attacks on Brown have driven his negatives up some and slightly diminished the incredible intensity of support that Brown enjoyed, but it looks more likely than not to hold.”

One bone to pick. Since when is a “single digit lead” “very narrow”. Especially considering most every poll, internal or not, for the most part shows a 4-9 point Brown lead? And even more so, Coakley never gets to 50% in any of them. That is Political Doom 101.

Meanwhile, CNN is reporting that White House insiders are ready to throw in the towel:

From CNN: (Hat Tip: Director Blue)

Multiple advisers to President Obama have privately told party officials that they believe Democrat Martha Coakley is going to lose Tuesday’s special election to fill the Massachusetts Senate seat held by the late Ted Kennedy for more than 40 years, several Democratic sources told CNN Sunday.

The sources added that the advisers are still hopeful that Obama’s visit to Massachusetts on Sunday – coupled with a late push by Democratic activists – could help Coakley pull out a narrow victory in an increasingly tight race against Republican state Sen. Scott Brown.

However, the presidential advisers have grown increasingly pessimistic in the last three days about Coakley’s chances after a series of missteps by the candidate, sources said.

That iceberg is coming up fast, Dems.




Filed Under: Election 2010

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