With November now less than six months away, I thought this was a good time take a quick pulse of where things stand in the Senate campaigns.

Missouri:

From Rassmussen Reports:

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of the state’s Likely Voters shows Carnahan, Missouri’s secretary of state, with 42% of the vote. Only four percent (4%) would opt for some other candidate, while another four percent (4%) are undecided at this point.

Still, support for both candidates has changed little over the past several months. Since January, Blunt has earned between 47% and 50% support. His support was slightly lower in September and December of last year.

Carnahan’s support has ranged between 41% to 43% in surveys conducted in 2010. She earned a high of 46% last September and December.

Missouri voters are even more strongly in favor of repeal of the new national health care plan than voters nationally. Sixty-two percent (62%) of Missouri voters favor repeal of the plan, up three points from 59% a month ago, while 35% are opposed to repeal. This includes 51% who Strongly Favor repeal and 27% who Strongly Oppose it.

This is a critical race if the GOP has a chance to recapture the Senate. While Blount leads by 8 now, it would not surprise me if this became a much closer race. Which could become very worrisome, since St. Louis is loaded with ACORN and SEIU agents who will do their best to bribe, cajole and import as many voters as they can to get to the polls. More than once. Plus this is more than one questionable judge in that state that very could allow all sorts of shenanigans to occur under the radar. One need look no farther than the debacle in 2000 when one judge allowed certain St. Louis polls to remain open until midnight, so that the AFL-CIO could bus in more voters. Which is probably what caused Ashcoft to have his legit win be stolen out from under his feet.

Florida:

From Rasmussen Reports:

The Florida Senate race appears to be a whole new ballgame with Republican Governor Charlie Crist’s decision to run as an independent.

A new Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Florida Voters finds Crist earning 38% support to Republican Marco Rubio’s 34% and Democrat Kendrick Meek’s 17%. Eleven percent (11%) are undecided.

Two weeks ago, before Crist announced his decision to run as an independent candidate, Rubio held a seven point advantage in the race.

Since then, Crist has gained eight (8) percentage points in the poll while Rubio and Meek have each dropped three (3) points. It remains to be seen if this is a temporary bounce or a lasting change in the race.

Frankly, I think this both temporary and that Rubio will run away with this race. Meek is living up to his name and Crist is playing with political dynamite first by dropping out of the GOP primary (which I first called back in February) and then running as independent. Snuggling up to Obama and his policies is poison to any politician today, no matter what party they are from.

I predict that Rubio gets 50%+ of the vote come November. The polls did not switch by some 50% between Crist and Rubio in less than six months for no reason.

Colorado:

From Rasmussen Reports:

Support for the candidates in Colorado’s U.S. Senate race largely remains in the same narrow range it’s been in for months, with all three Republicans continuing to hold modest leads over their Democratic opponents.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of likely voters in the state finds former Lieutenant Governor Jane Norton with 48% support to 41% for incumbent Democratic Senator Michael Bennet. Norton posts a 46% to 41% lead if her opponent is former state House Speaker Andrew Romanoff, who is challenging Bennet for the Democratic Senate nomination.

But Norton, who has led the race for months, is now being challenged by Ken Buck, a county district attorney who also picks up 48% support to Bennet’s 41%. That’s Buck’s best showing yet. He enjoys a 45% to 40% lead over Romanoff.

Ex-State Senator Tom Wiens also gets 45% of the vote to Romanoff’s 40%. His 44% support puts him in a virtual tie when matched with Bennett who earns 42%

Another important state for the GOP. Colorado has been trending Democrat for the past 10-15 years, but that seems to ending and a turn to the right seems to be on the horizon. A massive influx of illegals, higher crime rates and fiscal problems are causing disenchantment in the state.

Since not everything has been settled as far as primaries are concerned, it is a bit early to be making any predictions. However, this is a prime state for the GOP to pick up and it looks like that the odds are in their favor for now.

Meanwhile, looking to the future, Chucky “Marie Antionette” Schumer will officially be challenged by businessman Jay Townshend:

From Big Government:

Remember Joe and Eileen Bailey? They are the imaginary friends of Sen. Chuck Schumer (D-NY) who accompany him wherever he goes. He talks about them often.

charles_schumer

This year, New Yorkers may finally realize that it’s only Schumer’s imaginary friends who benefit from his presence in the senate. Businessman Jay Townsend may be the person who convinces them of it.

Townsend – who announced his candidacy against Schumer last Saturday – opened his campaign with a speech which featured the Baileys. Townsend said, “Senator, instead of inventing a family that does not exist, perhaps you could find some time to listen to real New York families that are struggling to make ends meet, put their kids through school and pay the taxes and fees you impose upon them from your throne on Capitol Hill.”

He said of Schumer, “One person, more than any other, stands as a stark symbol of what is wrong with Washington. Chuck Schumer is considered the most powerful Democrat on Capitol Hill. He is the head financier, the architect, the enabler, the avatar, the cheerleader-in-chief of an Imperial Congress that turns a deaf ear to those begging to be heard; the back of a hand to those who dare disagree.”

Schumer appears to be more vulnerable than many assume.

I 100% agree with that. Schumer is a perfect fit for my “no seat is safe” scenario. This campaign will probably be a bloodbath and of course, very expensive. Schumer is the face of everything that is wrong in the Nation’s Capital. Corruption, graft, special favors for friends, unabashed arrogance and criminal behavior. Schumer has those in spades.

I have also long wanted a new Olympic event called the “Mic Mile”. Take two chairs, place Schumer in one and Jesse Jackson in the other. Place the microphone a mile down from Constitution Ave., fire a starter’s gun and see who can reach that microphone first. It would be a race for the ages.

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