Since these are the stuffy, hot and dog days of a very, very warm summer, it is time to do a little poll jumping, watching and analyzing.
While not as relaxing as jumping through a sprinkler in your bathing suit, it will help cool you down while reading them in the comfort of an air-conditioned room. (Something that might become a rare luxury if Obama, Nancy Reid Pelosi and the enviromarxists have their way.
First up, Fiorina increases her lead over “Call me Senator” Boxer:
From CBS 5:
California Republican U.S. Senate candidate Carly Fiorina has increased her lead over Democratic incumbent Barbara Boxer to five percentage points according to a new CBS 5 KPIX-TV poll released Thursday, which also shows gubernatorial candidates Democrat Jerry Brown and Republican Meg Whitman in a dead heat.
The CBS 5 poll, conducted by the research firm SurveyUSA, showed Fiorina edging Boxer 47 percent to 42 percent, compared to a CBS 5 poll one month ago showing Fiorina over Boxer 47 to 45 percent.
The poll results indicated Fiorina’s support was essentially unchanged among men and women, young and old, white and Hispanic while Boxer had lost small ground among men, younger voters, and independents.
The poll also showed Fiorina tripling her lead in the Central Valley, from seven points one month ago to 21 points in this latest poll.
I find that last line quite interesting. Maybe those people are starting to tire of sky-high state tax rates, the crushing weight of the cost of illegals and having their votes on Prop. 8 throw out the window by a judge who turns the 14th amendment on it’s head.
Boxer looks to be toast.
Next up, some Obama numbers. They are about as appetizing as a plateful of goat’s eyes.
From Ed Morrisey at Hot Air:
“Elusive”? The only issue on which Gallup’s respondents gave majority job approval to Barack Obama was “race relations,” and even that barely nudged above half to 52%. Only on three others out of thirteen does Obama stay above water with plurality approval; on nine others, he sinks below the disapproval rating, including a big loss on the economy among adults — not registered or likely voters, which is a huge flare of distress:
Obama stays above water on education (49/40), terrorism (48/45), and energy policy (47/42), although on terrorism it’s closer to a dead heat within the MOE. The bad news starts at foreign affairs (44/48) and goes downhill from there. While foreign policy hasn’t been a front-line issue during the past eighteen months — the economy and immigration has taken nearly all of the political oxygen — it’s notable that Americans have gotten so disenchanted with “smart power” and reset buttons.
But the really bad news is on the issues that appear to be driving the midterms:
* Healthcare policy – 40/57
* Economy – 38/59
* The federal deficit – 31/64
* Immigration – 29/62
Imagine how bad these number will be come January 1, 2011 at 12:01am.
On the Senate side, some good news for Marco Rubio:
From Rasmussen Reports:
The race for the U.S. Senate in Florida continues to be all about Governor Charlie Crist and former state House Speaker Marco Rubio, regardless of which Democrat they face.
The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in Florida shows Rubio with 38% of the vote and Crist at 33% if Congressman Kendrick Meek is the nominee. Meek earns 21%. Only one percent (1%) prefer some other candidate, and seven percent (7%) are undecided.
If billionaire Jeff Greene is the Democratic candidate, Crist gets 37% support to Rubio’s 36%, with Greene trailing at 20%. two percent (2%) like another candidate, and five percent (5%) are undecided.
If I not mistaken, I think that is the highest number that Rubio has received since Crist started running as an independent. As I have mentioned before, I think Rubio will start breaking away from the pack soon enough and should coast to victory.
Also in the Senate, Roy Blunt maintains a steady lead over Robin Carnahan.
From Rasmussen Reports:
The race between Republican Congressman Roy Blunt and Democrat Robin Carnahan in Missouri’s U.S. Senate race is little changed after both candidates easily won their party primaries last week.
The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Missouri Voters shows Blunt with 50% support, while Carnahan earns 43% of the vote.
Two weeks ago, Blunt posted a 49% to 43% lead over Carnahan, Missouri’s current secretary of state. Blunt has run slightly ahead of Carnahan in surveys all year, with support ranging from 45% to 50%. She, in turn, has picked up 41% to 45% of the vote in those same surveys.
Maybe the money line:
Both candidates earn high levels of support from voters in their own party. Voters not affiliated with either of the major parties favor the Republican by nearly 20 points.
Throw in the 71% of Show Me Staters that voted against ObamaCare last week in the state and it does not look too promising for the Dems to pick up this seat.